Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting

This monograph, written by leading technology forecasters, includes discussion and examples of several substitution models including the Fisher-Pry and Gompertz models. When combined with good judgment and knowledge of the industry, these relatively simple models can usually outperform industry wisdom and the guesses that often pass for market forecasts. Anyone whose future depends on technology markets will find them extraordinarily useful both in gaining insight and understanding, as well as in decision making.