On the accuracy and reliability of predictions by perceptual control theory: five years later.: An article from: The Psychological Record

This digital document is an article from The Psychological Record, published by Psychological Record on January 1, 1996. The length of the article is 3281 words. The page length shown above is based on a typical 300-word page. The article is delivered in HTML format and is available in your Amazon.com Digital Locker immediately after purchase. You can view it with any web browser.

From the author: This is a demonstration of an idiographic procedure that makes very accurate quantitative predictions of one person's specific actions during a task. In June, 1988, I completed Condition 1 for each of eight different runs of a two-condition pursuit tracking task. Using data from Condition 1, when only the control handle affected the position of the cursor, I estimated the constants in the model of behavior from perceptual control theory, then I used the model to predict the results for Condition 2, when a random disturbance would also affect the cursor. Every five years I will do two of the eight predicted runs; I did two of them in July, 1993. Correlations between 1800 pairs of predicted and actual handle positions were .998 for the first run, and .997 for the second. Data from the model and me were nearly indistinguishable. I briefly discuss some misconceptions about data like these.

Citation Details
Title: On the accuracy and reliability of predictions by perceptual control theory: five years later.
Author: W. Thomas Bourbon
Publication:The Psychological Record (Refereed)
Date: January 1, 1996
Publisher: Psychological Record
Volume: v46 Issue: n1 Page: p39(9)

Distributed by Thomson Gale