Reckoning With Risk : Learning to Live With Uncertainty

'This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medical choices should read it' - "New Scientist". However much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning with risk? Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy. Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.

• Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions
• Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
• Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious
• Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way: Understanding Statistics and Probability with Star Wars, LEGO, and Rubber Ducks
• Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart
• Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
• Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions
• Heuristics: The Foundations of Adaptive Behavior
• Adaptive Thinking: Rationality in the Real World (Evolution and Cognition)
• The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data