Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?: Intervention Timing and Its Implications for Force Planning
Book Details
Author(s)Jennifer Kavanagh
PublisherRAND Corporation
ISBN / ASIN0833079018
ISBN-139780833079015
MarketplaceFrance 🇫🇷
Description
Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.
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