Impact of Supply Uncertainty in Supply Chain: A Simulation Approach

This research, using system dynamics methodology, investigates the impact of supply disruption between any two players on performance of a multiplayer supply chain system comprising Retailer, Wholesaler, Distributor and Factory. A general theory of disruption propagation, downstream and upstream, from the point of disruption has been developed. The impact of disruption location and duration is analyzed, revealing that increased length shifts location of maximum impact upstream, other parameters remaining same.