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Human activities and global warming: a cointegration analysis [An article from: Environmental Modelling and Software]
Book Details
Author(s)
H. Liu, G. Rodri@?guez
Publisher
Elsevier
ISBN / ASIN
B000RR4L4C
ISBN-13
978B000RR4L48
Availability
Available for download now
Marketplace
United States 🇺🇸
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Description
This digital document is a journal article from Environmental Modelling and Software, published by Elsevier in 2005. The article is delivered in HTML format and is available in your Amazon.com Media Library immediately after purchase. You can view it with any web browser.
Description:
Using econometric tools for selecting I(1) and I(2) trends, we found the existence of static long-run steady-state and dynamic long-run steady-state relations between temperature and radiative forcing of solar irradiance and a set of three greenhouse gases series. Estimates of the adjustment coefficients indicate that temperature series is error correcting around 5-65% of the disequilibria each year, depending on the type of long-run relation. The estimates of the I(1) and I(2) trends indicate that they are driven by linear combinations of the three greenhouse gases and their loadings indicate strong impact on the temperature series. The equilibrium temperature change for a doubling of carbon dioxide is between 2.15 and 3.4 ^oC, which is in agreement with past literature and the report of the IPCC in 2001 using 15 different general circulation models.
Description:
Using econometric tools for selecting I(1) and I(2) trends, we found the existence of static long-run steady-state and dynamic long-run steady-state relations between temperature and radiative forcing of solar irradiance and a set of three greenhouse gases series. Estimates of the adjustment coefficients indicate that temperature series is error correcting around 5-65% of the disequilibria each year, depending on the type of long-run relation. The estimates of the I(1) and I(2) trends indicate that they are driven by linear combinations of the three greenhouse gases and their loadings indicate strong impact on the temperature series. The equilibrium temperature change for a doubling of carbon dioxide is between 2.15 and 3.4 ^oC, which is in agreement with past literature and the report of the IPCC in 2001 using 15 different general circulation models.
