Worldwide Model-Driven Development Software 2007-2011 Forecast and 2006 Vendor Shares

This IDC study evaluates the market for model-driven development (MDD) tools, which include data modeling, UML process modeling, and business process modeling. The MDD market is one of two key segments of the overall analysis, modeling, and design (AMD) functional market.

This IDC study provides 2006 vendor shares, historical revenue for 2004 and 2005, and a forecast through 2011 for the model-driven development tools market with segmentations by primary geographic region and operating environment. The performance of the top 10 vendors in the model-driven development market is compared. Market drivers for the model-driven development market are discussed as are the characteristics that vendors will need to be successful in the future.

The MDD market experienced exceptional growth in 2006 for the first time in many years. Revenue for MDD increased from $611.3 million in 2005 to $673.6 million in 2006, resulting in annual growth of 10.2%. This is the first time that the MDD market has achieved double-digit growth in many years. However, there are four market dynamics linked to the leading vendors in the MDD market that account for lower than previously stated growth in 2005 and higher than anticipated growth in 2006.

"Model-driven development is now at evolutionary point at which modeling can move out of the shadows and into a highly visible position as a primary focal point for driving the design and development of applications," said Stephen D. Hendrick, group vice president for Application Development and Deployment research at IDC. "However, the future of MDD will likely depend primarily on the ability of business process modeling to bridge the gap that currently exists between requirements definition and lower-level UML process modeling."